Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. (TSM)
NYSEInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
NYSEInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
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Put TSM beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Semiconductors is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskNot enough reads yet
TSM's advanced chip roadmap has to keep compounding to justify the price. The company is ramping volume production for new nodes in late 2026. Recent guidance indicates the AI demand boom is not slowing. The stock recently dropped 16% from its high. This sharp move suggests the market is repricing the thesis. We cannot anchor a clean multiple for TSM right now. Peer multiples imply a price about 27% above where it trades. Our read remains intact. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. TSM is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 21 analysts currently covering TSM (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 6 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for TSM in the last 4 months.
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Compare TSM with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Semiconductors — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put TSM next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Potential major new customer for advanced AI chips.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $395.75
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $395.75.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.

Potential major new customer for advanced AI chips.

Potential major new customer partnership for advanced packaging.
Potential major new customer partnership for advanced packaging.

IPO filing identifies Taiwan-related supply disruption as a material operational risk for TSMC’s key customer.

Reported equipment diversification could reduce rare-earth supply-chain exposure.

Fatal site accident and halted work create operational and safety risks.

Moody's rating upgrade formally recognizes strong demand and market position.
