LendingTree, Inc. (TREE)
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Credit ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Credit ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put TREE beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Financials is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Adjusted EBITDA for 2026 between $152 million and $162 million: FY26 EBITDA guidance $145M-$152M vs $152M-$162M target.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 25% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 64% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskLendingTree's growth in the insurance segment must continue to justify its current valuation. Revenue grew 25% year over year, but the latest quarter missed expectations. It trades at 7.6× P/E versus a peer median of 12.4×, indicating that expectations look modest compared to our view. The primary risk is the missed revenue guidance for 2026, which could lead to further downward revisions. Peer multiples imply a price about 52% above where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. TREE is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 6 analysts currently covering TREE (as of Sep 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
Continue this research
Compare TREE with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Free account required to save the handoff. No credit card.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TREE Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Financials (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put TREE next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
New lawsuit could impact financial stability and operations.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Grow revenue and segment profit, led by Insurance segment
Insurance segment growth offsets SMB challenges.

Advances: Increase adjusted EBITDA and operating leverage
Adjusted EBITDA goal indicates operational improvement.

Threatens: Increase revenue guidance for 2026
Missed EPS and revenue estimates affect 2026 guidance.

Threatens: Increase revenue guidance for 2026
Missed revenue estimates affect growth outlook.
Positive analysis supports LendingTree's valuation amidst leadership changes.

Advances: Expand product offerings and AI capabilities
AI roadmap contribution enhances product capabilities.

Strong Q1 earnings indicate potential for increased revenue guidance.