BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ)
NYSEConsumer StaplesDiscount StoresSnapshot 2026-09-04
NYSEConsumer StaplesDiscount StoresSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put BJ beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Staples is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — EPS reaches at least $4.4 next fiscal year: EPS guidance $4.6-$4.8 vs $4.4 target.
View ThesisRevenue growth is slowing — up about 1% over the past year and decelerating.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 19% growth a year, above the roughly 8% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskBJ's growth depends on strong revenue and membership gains. The company reported a 15.7% year-over-year revenue increase and raised its EPS guidance to $4.60-$4.80. BJ trades at 20× P/E, above the peer median of 17×. The market expects more growth than BJ forecasts, indicating full expectations. A risk is if BJ cuts guidance, which has a 17% miss probability. Peer multiples imply a price about 19% below where it trades. This read is provisional; the thesis is on watch.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. BJ is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 23 analysts currently covering BJ (as of Sep 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Compare BJ with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJ Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Consumer Staples (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put BJ next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Drive comparable club sales growth
Cuts may hinder comparable sales growth due to demand shifts.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.

Advances: Increase revenue growth
Stronger fundamentals support revenue growth expectations.

Advances: Increase revenue growth
Record membership indicates strong revenue growth potential.

Threatens: Increase revenue growth
Slower core sales growth raises revenue concerns.

Advances: Increase revenue growth
Q2 earnings call highlights revenue growth strategies.

Advances: Increase revenue growth
Strong sales growth directly supports revenue growth objective.

Advances: Increase revenue growth
Positive comparable sales and membership income enhance revenue.

Advances: Increase revenue growth
Higher profit and revenue directly support growth objectives.