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DRI

Darden Restaurants

NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-05-08

$196.23+0.54%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, DRI has a composite score of 17.0, categorized as "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a high confidence level of 80.7 and reflects factors such as macroeconomic conditions and sector trends. The analysis is provisional, indicating that the scores may change as new information becomes available.

Composite +17as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
neutral
Mid-cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    0.01
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
383339320406
F2 · Value
neutral
Mid-cohort by earnings yield
Why this rank
Price
$196.23
TTM EPS
$9.61
Earnings yield
4.9%
P/E (TTM)
20.4

Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3

F3 · Earnings quality
neutral
Mid-cohort cash conversion
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
1,106
TTM CFO ($M)
1,809
CFO/NI
1.64
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
stable
Top 10% activity in consumer discretionary cohort· see deep-dive ↓
neutral
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bullish26 analysts, 65% Buyfor period ending 2026-05-31
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $3.63 → $3.63 (+0.0% / 30d). 22 raised, 4 cut, 26 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 65% of analysts rate Buy.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
1

Recent 8-K events

1 material event in the last 24 months — top 1 listed below.

2

Stated priorities

Insufficient transcript history for this ticker.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
moderateworst 12m loss −24%, typical day ±1.3%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 26%; 252d 25%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −24%. Bad day move −3%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLY) 0.02 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 58/100, drawdown 52/100, beta 2/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
headwind-4.8%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLY

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. No material changes since the prior snapshot.

No material changes since the prior snapshot.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite62.0 / 100
Capital allocation69
Earnings discipline78
Margin discipline65
Balance sheet30
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction38
as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.

5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
48higher = cheaper

Roughly priced in line with peers.

Compared to its own history
65higher = cheaper

Around its own typical valuation.

P/E
19.6x
EV/EBITDA
12.2x
FCF yield
5.3%

P/E over the last 5 years

71 monthly points
fairas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
DRI
Darden Restaurants
+17fairmoderate
AMZN
Amazon
+16fullmoderate
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
+0.4expensiveelevated
HD
Home Depot (The)
+14fullmoderate
CVNA
Carvana
+14high
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
1.3%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-2.5%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-23.9%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
moderateas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If consumer_discretionary sector trend rises from +0.10 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
  • If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-03-19)+4.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-03-19)-8.0 pts
  • If consumer_discretionary sector trend falls from +0.10 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
  • If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-03-191mo agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 19, 2026, Darden Restaurants, Inc. (the Company) issued a news release entitled “Darden Restaurants Reports Fiscal 2026 Third Quarter Results; Declares Quarterly Dividend; And Updates Fiscal 2026 Financial Outlook,” a copy of which is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. In addition, the slide presentation accompanying the Company’s conference call will be posted on the Company’s website. As provided in General I…

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 21
  2. 2025-12-184mo agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On December 18, 2025, Darden Restaurants, Inc. (the Company) issued a news release entitled “Darden Restaurants Reports Fiscal 2026 Second Quarter Results; Declares Quarterly Dividend; And Updates Fiscal 2026 Financial Outlook,” a copy of which is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. In addition, the slide presentation accompanying the Company’s conference call will be posted on the Company’s website. As provided in Gener…

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 3
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-03-27 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.