Texas Roadhouse (TXRH)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$189.56+0.26%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put TXRH beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Restaurants is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Operating income growth via cost management: Operating margin guided to 14.0% vs target of consistent growth; Q2 EPS missed by 2.6%.
View ThesisRevenue growth is slowing — up about 10% over the past year and decelerating.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, margins, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 26% growth a year, above the roughly 11% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskTexas Roadhouse's growth depends on maintaining strong sales and traffic. The company recently reported Q2 earnings with revenue of $1.74 billion and EPS of $1.85. It beat expectations, showing strong momentum. The stock trades at 30× P/E, above the 17× peer median. This suggests the market expects more growth than the company may deliver. The primary risk is a potential guidance cut, with a 27% miss probability. Peer multiples imply a price about 26% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. TXRH is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 28 analysts currently covering TXRH (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 13 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for TXRH in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare TXRH with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXRH Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Restaurants — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put TXRH next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Racism allegations could harm brand reputation and sales.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $189.56
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $189.56.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Drive comparable restaurant sales growth and store expansion
Expansion plans align with growth objectives and enhance investment thesis.
Advances: Drive comparable restaurant sales growth and store expansion
Confirms store expansion plans, aligning with growth objectives.
Advances: Drive comparable restaurant sales growth and store expansion
Sales and traffic rise support growth objectives.
Advances: Increase revenue
Record sales indicate strong revenue growth potential.
Advances: Improve restaurant margin despite commodity and labor inflation
Capex targets and lower inflation outlook support margin improvement.
Advances: Drive comparable restaurant sales growth and store expansion
Continued sales growth aligns with revenue increase goals.
Advances: Drive comparable restaurant sales growth and store expansion
Strong traffic trends support sales growth objectives.
