Intel Corporation (INTC)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$95.80+4.51%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put INTC beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Semiconductors is in supercycle. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — AI-driven business revenue growth: Q2 FY26 +25.0% vs 14.0% target.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 7% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 29%, softest on share dilution.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 42% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskIntel's growth in AI-driven businesses and CPU leadership must continue to justify its price. Revenue grew 25% year over year in Q2 FY26, beating expectations. It trades at 8.6× price-to-sales, slightly above the peer median of 8.3×. The price reflects less growth than forecasted, indicating modest expectations. A specific risk is the potential for Intel to cut guidance, which could negatively impact stock performance. Peer multiples imply a price about 26% below where it trades, suggesting it looks expensive on this basis. The thesis is on watch due to pressure on AI-driven revenue growth.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. INTC is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 49 analysts currently covering INTC (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 20 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for INTC in the last 4 months.
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Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Semiconductors — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put INTC next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Ramp Intel 18A production and improve foundry yields
Commitment to fab completion supports production ramp objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $95.80
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $95.80.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Strengthen core x86 franchise and product roadmap
Bullish demand for CPUs aligns with strengthening x86 franchise.
Advances: Strengthen core x86 franchise and product roadmap
Positive demand outlook supports x86 product roadmap.
Nvidia's warning indicates increased competitive pressure on Intel.
Nvidia partnership enhances AI-driven business growth potential.
AMD's gains threaten Intel's x86 franchise and market position.
Partnership may not enhance AI-driven business growth.
Advances: Expand AI-driven businesses and CPU leadership in AI era
AI focus aligns with growth objectives and enhances investment case.