NRG Energy (NRG)
NYSEUtilitiesUtilities - Independent Power ProducersSnapshot 2026-07-08
$138.03-2.11%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Utilities is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
NRG's growth depends on reaffirming its 2026 financial guidance after recent weakness. Revenue growth is crucial, especially after the last quarter's earnings miss of 17.7%. It trades at 20× P/E, below the peer median of 25×. This suggests the price reflects modest growth expectations. A risk is the 42% chance of another earnings miss on the next call. Peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-07. NRG is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 17 analysts currently covering NRG (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 3 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for NRG in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $138.03. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Utilities (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Advances: Reaffirm 2026 financial guidance
New power plant supports growth and financial guidance.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-07. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $138.03
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $138.03.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Board appointment may enhance strategic direction.
Advances: Reaffirm 2026 financial guidance
CEO's growth strategy aligns with financial objectives.