SunPower, Inc. (SPWR)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySolarSnapshot 2026-09-04
$0.36-10.40%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySolarSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put SPWR beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Information Technology is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Annual revenue exceeds $400 million in fiscal year 2026: FY26 revenue guidance $75.0M vs $400.0M target.
View ThesisManagement screens weak on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 4% on a typical day and fell roughly 80% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskSunPower's growth depends on achieving over $400 million in revenue for 2026. Recent guidance projects Q3 revenue of $75 million, but Q2 missed estimates. The stock trades at a low multiple compared to peers. This suggests the market expects weak performance. If SPWR cuts guidance again, it could drop further. Our read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. SPWR is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 2 analysts currently covering SPWR (as of Sep 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Compare SPWR with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPWR Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Information Technology (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put SPWR next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Manage capital allocation including equity and debt transactions
Private placement may dilute shareholder value and affect capital allocation.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Advances: Manage capital allocation including equity and debt transactions
Capital raise supports cashflow breakeven objective.
Threatens: Reduce operating losses
Bankruptcy raises concerns about operating losses and cashflow.
Bankruptcy raises concerns about operational stability and cash flow.
Advances: Grow 2026 revenue to over $400 million
Q3 revenue and operating loss targets align with growth objectives.
Threatens: Grow 2026 revenue to over $400 million
Q2 2026 revenue miss impacts growth objective.
Advances: Achieve cashflow breakeven by Q3 2026
Advancements in energy transition support cashflow breakeven goal.
Partnership enhances growth potential in installations.